Martingale: umutego wo gukuba kabiri mu mibare
Kuba kabiri igiciro cyashyizweho nyuma yo gutsindwa, hanyuma usubire ku giciro cyashyizweho cy'ibanze nyuma yo gutsinda. Martingale yizeza inyungu ntoya “itashobora kunanirwa”. Dore icyo ikora ku ntego ya 2x, aho ikunzwe cyane.
Uko bikora kuri 2x
Buri ruhererekane rurangira ku ntsinzi ya mbere, kandi buri ruhererekane rwatsinze runyungura neza igiciro cyashyizweho kimwe cy'ibanze: intsina yishyura ibihombo byose by'uruhererekane hamwe n'igiciro cyashyizweho cy'ibanze. N'igiciro cyashyizweho cya 1, amafaranga ajya kuri 1, 2, 4, 8… kandi gutsindwa inshuro icumi zikurikiranye bivuze ko 1.023 yatakaye kugira ngo utsinde 1.
| Icyiciro mu ruhererekane | Gushyira amafaranga | Igihombo cyose niba iki nacyo gitsindwa | Amahirwe yo gutsindwa buri cyiciro kugeza ubu |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 51,5% |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 26,5% |
| 3 | 4 | 7 | 13,7% |
| 4 | 8 | 15 | 7,03% |
| 5 | 16 | 31 | 3,62% |
| 6 | 32 | 63 | 1,87% |
| 7 | 64 | 127 | 0,96% |
| 8 | 128 | 255 | 0,49% |
| 9 | 256 | 511 | 0,25% |
| 10 | 512 | 1.023 | 0,13% |
Ikibazo: gikunze kubaho gake, ariko si gake bihagije
Uruhererekane rumwe rurangira hafi buri gihe n'inyungu ntoya, ibi bikaba bituma uburyo bumera nk'bwizewe. Ariko uruhererekane rumara hafi icyiciro 2 mpuzandengo, bityo umukinnyi akanyura mu biciciro byinshi mu ijoro rimwe. Mu biciciro 1,000, amahirwe yo guhura n'igihembwe cy'intsinzi nke cy'intsinzi icumi ni 47%, kandi iyo ageze, akuraho inyungu z'inyungu zisaga igihumbi zabanje.
Impamvu itashobora gutsinda inyungu y'urubuga
Uruhererekane mpuzandengo kuri 2x rushyiraho hafi ibice 11,5 by'ibanze byose hamwe kandi rukatakaza 0,34 by'ibice mpuzandengo: neza −3% by'ibyo byashyizweho. Martingale ntihindura impuzandengo. Ihindura ibisubizo bikaba inyungu nyinshi ntoya n'igihombo kimwe gikomeye gikunze kubaho gake.
Amafaranga yagenewe gukina n'imbibi z'ameza bituma biba bibi
Kugira ngo ubashe gutsindwa inshuro icumi kuri 2x, ukeneye inshuro 1.023 z'igiciro cyawe cyashyizweho cy'ibanze, byose kugira ngo utsinde igiciro kimwe cyashyizweho cy'ibanze rimwe. Imikino nyayo nayo igira imbibi ku giciro kinini cyashyizweho, ibi bikagabura urwego. Iyo utashobora gushyiraho igiciro gikurikira cyakubwe kabiri, igihombo kirafungwa.
Igikoresho cyo kubara ibyago bya Martingale
Igikoresho cyo kubara
Ku ntego zitari 2x, gushyira amafaranga bigomba kwiyongera vuba cyangwa buhoro kugira ngo igihombo gisubizwe: bya target ÷ (target − 1) kuri buri ntambwe, ni ukuvuga ×3 kuri 1.5x na ×1.11 kuri 10x. Igihombo mpuzandengo kiguma ari 3% y’ibyo byose byashyizweho.
Ibindi buryo bwo gushyira amafaranga
- Grand Martingale yongera ingano y’inyongera kuri buri kubye: kwiyongera vuba, urutonde runini, igihombo mpuzandengo kimwe.
- Reverse Martingale (Paroli) yikuba nyuma yo gutsinda: amanyuranyurwa manini make, igihombo gito gikunze kubaho, igihombo mpuzandengo kimwe.
- D’Alembert yongera ingano imwe nyuma yo gutsindwa ikayikura nyuma yo gutsinda: ihinduka ritanyeganyega, igihombo mpuzandengo kimwe.
- Fibonacci ikurikira urutonde rwa Fibonacci nyuma yo gutsindwa: Martingale yoroshye, igihombo mpuzandengo kimwe.
Ushobora gukoresha Martingale, D’Alembert na Paroli muri Crash Lab ukareba igihombo mpuzandengo kigera kuri −3% y’amafaranga yashyizweho buri gihe.
Ibibazo
Ni iki kibaho niba nahagarika nyuma yo gutsinda rimwe?
Amategeko yo guhagarika ahindura igihe cy’umukino kirangira mbere y’igihe; ntahindura igihombo mpuzandengo cy’amafaranga washyizeho. Mu bihe by’imikino myinshi, igisubizo kiguma ari −3% y’amafaranga yose yashyizweho.
Ni iki kibaho niba nagira amafaranga atagira ingano?
Nta muntu ubifite, kandi buri mukino ufite imbibi ku ngano y’amafaranga. N’mu bitekerezo, amafaranga yagenewe gukina atagira ingano yari kugira ngo ahure n’igihombo kinini kugira ngo atsinde igiciro cyashyizweho rimwe gusa.
Byakora neza niba intego ari ntoya nka 1.5x?
Oya. Kuri 1.5x, igihombo buri gihe gikurikirwa no gushyira amafaranga inshuro eshatu zikubye, bityo urutonde rukiyongera vuba cyane. Igihombo mpuzandengo kiguma ari kimwe.