Martingale: musungo wekupfumbamvera muhumbowo
Wedzera bheji mushure mekurasikirwa kwese, dzokera kubheji rekutanga mushure mekuhwina. Martingale inotenda hwina diki “risingakundikani”. Heino zvainoita pachinangwa che2x, apo inowanzoshandiswa.
Maitiro ayo pa2x
Chikamu chimwe nechimwe chinopera pakuhwina kwekutanga, uye chikamu chimwe nechimwe chakakundwa chinowana bheji rimwe rekutanga: kuhwina kunobhadhara kurasikirwa kwese mukati mechikamu pamwe nebheji rekutanga. Nebheji rekutanga re1, mabheji anoenda 1, 2, 4, 8… uye kurasikirwa gumi akatevedzana kunoreva 1,023 akarasikirwa kuti uwane 1.
| Kutenderera murudzi | Bheji | Zvakarasikirwa zvese kana izvi zvikarasikirwa | Mukana wekurasikirwa kutenderera kwese kusvika zvino |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 51.5% |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 26.5% |
| 3 | 4 | 7 | 13.7% |
| 4 | 8 | 15 | 7.03% |
| 5 | 16 | 31 | 3.62% |
| 6 | 32 | 63 | 1.87% |
| 7 | 64 | 127 | 0.96% |
| 8 | 128 | 255 | 0.49% |
| 9 | 256 | 511 | 0.25% |
| 10 | 512 | 1,023 | 0.13% |
Chinonetsa: chishoma, asi chisina kushoma zvakakwana
Chikamu chimwe chete chinowanzopera nehwinho diki, izvo zvinoita kuti nzira inzwe yakachengeteka. Asi chikamu chinomera chete kutenderera kunenge 2 pakati, saka mutambi anopfuura nezana reizvi muchiedza chimwe chete. Mukutenderera 1,000, mukana wekusangana nekutadza kurarama gumi ndi 47%, uye apo zvichisvika zvinodzima hwina zviuru zvakapfuura.
Nei isingakwanise kukunda mubereko weimba
Chikamu chepakati pa2x chinotora 11.5 yeyuniti yebheji rekutanga yose uye inorasikirwa ne 0.34 yeyuniti pakati: chaizvo −3% yemari yebheji yakaiswa. Martingale hachinji pakati. Inochinja zvinotarisirwa kuita hwina dzidiki dzakawanda nekurasikirwa kumwe kunoshamisa.
Mari yekubhejera nemiganhu yetafura zvinowedzera dambudziko
Kuti upone kurasikirwa gumi pa2x unoda 1,023 yebheji rekutanga rako, yose kuti uwane bheji rimwe rekutanga panguva imwe chete. Mitambo chaiyo inogumisa bheji guru, izvo zvinodzora mutsetse. Pausingakwanisi kuisa bheji rinotevera rekupfumbamvera, kurasikirwa kunorimiswa.
Chirori chekutarisa njodzi yeMartingale
Chirori
Pachinangwa chisiri 2x, bheji rinofanira kukura nekukurumidza kana nekushaya kwekudzorera kurasikirwa: ne chinangwa ÷ (chinangwa − 1) pakutenderera, inoita ×3 pa 1.5x uye ×1.11 pa 10x. Mutengo wepakati unogara uri 3% yezvinhu zvese zvakabhejwa.
Dzimwe nzira yekubhejera
- Grand Martingale inowedzera yuniti imwe pakukwidza kwese: kukura nekukurumidza, terepasi huru, mutengo wepakati wakafanana.
- Reverse Martingale (Paroli) inokwidza mushure mekukunda: kutadza kurarama kunowanzoonekwa, kurasikirwa kudiki kunowanzoitika, mutengo wepakati wakafanana.
- D’Alembert inowedzera yuniti imwe mushure mekurasikirwa uye inobvisa imwe mushure mekukunda: kushanduka kunononoka, mutengo wepakati wakafanana.
- Fibonacci inotevera nzira yeFibonacci mushure mekurasikirwa: Martingale ine nyore, mutengo wepakati wakafanana.
Unogona kushandisa Martingale, D’Alembert neParoli mu Crash Lab uye kuona mutengo wepakati uchisvika pa −3% yemari yebheji nguva dzose.
Mibvunzo
Chii chinaitika kana ndikamira mushure mekukunda kamwe chete?
Mitemo yekumira inochinja chikamu chekutamba chinopera nekukurumidza; hachichinji mutengo wepakati webheji raunobheja. Muchikamu chekutamba chakawanda, zvinosvika pa −3% yemari yese yakaiswa.
Chii chinaitika kana ndaiva nemari isingaperi?
Hapana ane iyoyo, uye mutambo wese unogumisa saizi yebheji. Nekufungisisa, mari yekubhejera isingaperi yaizongoriisa mari huru kuti ikunde bheji rimwe rekutanga panguva imwe chete.
Inoshanda zviri nani nechinangwa chidiki se 1.5x?
Kwete. Pa 1.5x, kurasikirwa kwese kunofanira kuteverwa nebheji rakakura katatu, saka terepasi inokura nekukurumidza. Mutengo wepakati hauchinji.