Martingale: Garkuwan ninkawa a lambobi
Ninka adadin da aka yi judi bayan kowane asara, koma ga ainihin adadin da aka yi judi bayan nasara. Tsarin Martingale yana ba da alƙawarin ƙaramin riba wanda "ba zai iya kasa ba." Ga yadda yake aiki a manufar ciro riba ta 2x, inda ya fi shahara.
Yadda yake aiki a 2x
Kowanne jeri yana ƙarewa a farkon nasara, kuma kowane jeri da aka ci yana samun ainihin adadin da aka yi judi guda ɗaya: nasarar tana komawa da duk asarar da ke cikin jerin da ainihin adadin da aka yi judi. Idan ainihin adadin da aka yi judi shine 1, adadin da aka yi judi yana tafiya 1, 2, 4, 8… kuma asara goma a jere yana nufin 1,023 an asar su don samun riba 1.
| Zagaye a cikin jerin | Judi | Jimlar asara idan wannan ma ya rasa | Yiwuwar asarar kowane zagaye har zuwa yanzu |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 51.5% |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 26.5% |
| 3 | 4 | 7 | 13.7% |
| 4 | 8 | 15 | 7.03% |
| 5 | 16 | 31 | 3.62% |
| 6 | 32 | 63 | 1.87% |
| 7 | 64 | 127 | 0.96% |
| 8 | 128 | 255 | 0.49% |
| 9 | 256 | 511 | 0.25% |
| 10 | 512 | 1,023 | 0.13% |
Matsala: ba kasafai ba, amma ba ba kasafai sosai ba
Jerin guda ɗaya kusan koyaushe yana ƙarewa da ƙaramin nasara, wanda hakan ke sa tsarin ya ji cikin aminci. Amma jeri yana ɗaukar kusan zagaye 2 a matsakaici, don haka mai wasa yana wucewa da ɗariyoyi a cikin wata dare. Cikin zagaye 1,000, yiwuwar fuskantar jerin asara goma shine 47%, kuma lokacin da ya faru yana share nasarar da ta gabata guda dubu.
Dalilin da yasa ba zai iya doke Ribar kamfanin ba
Jerin matsakaici a 2x yana ɗaukar kusan 11.5 na ainihin adadin da aka yi judi a jimla kuma yana asar 0.34 na adadin a matsakaici: daidai −3% na abin da aka yi judi. Tsarin Martingale baya canza matsakaicin. Yana sake fasalin sakamakon zuwa nasarori da yawa na ƙanƙanta da kuma asara guda ɗaya mai banbanci da girma.
Kuɗin wasa da iyakokin teburi suna kara muni
Don tsira daga asara goma a 2x, kuna buƙatar 1,023 na ainihin adadin da aka yi judi, duk don samun ainihin adadin da aka yi judi guda ɗaya a lokaci guda. Wasanni na gaske suma suna iyakance iyakar adadin da aka yi judi, wanda hakan ke gajarta ladder. Idan ba za ku iya sanya ninkawa na gaba ba, asarar tana kullewa.
Mai lissafin haɗarin Martingale
Mai lissafi
A manufar ciro riba banda 2x, dole ne judi ya karu da sauri ko a hankali don dawo da asarar: ta hanyar raba manufa da (manufa − 1) a kowane mataki, wanda ke nufin ×3 a 1.5x da ×1.11 a 10x. Matsakaicin asara yana kasancewa 3% na duk adadin da aka yi judi.
Wasu tsarin judi na ci gaba
- Grand Martingale yana kara wadatu daya a kowane maimaitawa: karuwa mai sauri, matakai masu girma, amma matsakaicin asara iri daya.
- Reverse Martingale (Paroli) yana maimaita bayan nasara maimakon haka: jerin nasara masu yawa ba kasafai ba, asarar karama akai-akai, matsakaicin asara iri daya.
- D’Alembert yana kara wadatu daya bayan asara kuma yana cire daya bayan nasara: canje-canje masu hankali, matsakaicin asara iri daya.
- Fibonacci yana bin jerin Fibonacci bayan asarar: Martingale mai hankali, matsakaicin asara iri daya.
Kuna iya gudanar da Martingale, D’Alembert da Paroli a cikin Crash Lab kuma ku ga cewa matsakaicin asara yana kasancewa −3% na adadin da aka yi judi a kowane lokaci.
Tambayoyi
Menene zai faru idan na tsaya bayan nasara daya?
Dokokin tsayawa suna canza wadanne lokutan wasa suke karewa da wuri; ba su canza matsakaicin asara na judin da kake yi ba. A cikin lokutan wasa da yawa, sakamakon har yanzu −3% na jimlar adadin da aka yi judi.
Menene zai faru idan ina da kuɗi mara iyaka?
Babu wanda yake da shi, kuma kowane wasan yana iyakance girman judi. Ko a ka’ida, kuɗin wasa mara iyaka zai yi hadari da mafi girman jimla don samun judi na tushe daya a lokaci guda.
Shin yana aiki mafi kyau tare da manufa mai ƙasa kamar 1.5x?
A'a. A 1.5x, dole ne kowane asara ya biyo bayan judi mai girma sau uku, don haka matakai suna karuwa da sauri sosai. Matsakaicin asara yana kasancewa iri daya.